While awareness of peak oil, or at least the energy crisis, is increasing, understanding of how these two problems might interact to generate quite different futures is still at an early state. David Holgrem presents an integrated approach to understanding the potential interaction between climate change and peak oil using a scenario planning model. In the process it introduces permaculture as a design system specifically evolved over the last 30 years to creatively respond to futures that involve progressively less and less available energy.
|Short title||Future Scenarios|
|Long title||Future Scenarios - How Communities Can Adapt to Peak Oil and Climate Change|
- this is a succinct exploration of the twin effects of climate change and peak oil and how our future might unfold Review by Maddy Harland, editor Permaculture magazine
David’s book is replete with historical, economic, ecological and cultural references, and observations on the role of permaculture in all but the Brown Tech scenario. It is a succinct, pithy and sometimes uncomfortable read. The message is that grassroot activists can steer the future. David urges us to take the ‘mixed pieces of myriad broken traditional cultures of the world and the novel and shining bits of unravelling industrial modernity’ and create a planned energy-descent future. He calls us to be part of nature’s striving for the next evolutionary way and asks us to imagine that both our descendants and our ancestors are watching. So after a powerfully succinct analysis of possible future scenarios, David is indeed encouraging us all to dream and then to commit to concrete projects and actions.
(Posted on 15/07/2010)